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manfred von ardenne  

  • Introduction
  • 1955-1990: New Home in Dresden
  • 1907: Birth and Family Background
  • Private Life
  • 1907-1928: Childhood and Youth
  • Manfred von Ardenne as Visionary
  • 1928-1945: Berlin Years
  • Legacy
  • 1945-1955: The Research Institute near Sukhumi
  • Scientific Discoveries and Inventions
Profile
History
Manfred von Ardenne
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  • Manfred von Ardenne as Visionary

    In his 1962 essay “Visions of Technology in the Year 2000”, which appeared in the periodical “Technische Gemeinschaft”, Manfred von Ardenne demonstrated that he was a scientist and thinker of vision. In his opinion, all that one needed for such prophecies was to “estimate each research result with a little imagination which is anyway part of the first stage of development”, and that the scientist should carry within himself “the attributes of great importance for the future”. And most of his prophecies have indeed come true and have been part of our daily life for some time. A selection follows:

  • The Vision of the Microchip and the Internet

    As for the miniaturization of electronic components, the semiconductor and molecular electronics, he foresaw the microchip and the wild developments that are connected with it, which even “specialists find it difficult to keep up with.”

    Even more astonishing was his vision of the internet:

    “Within a few decades, electronic data processing and storage (including that in miniature design) will increase the capacity of the human brain to an extent that can scarcely be conceived today.  With every passing day, the increasing power and rapid specialization in the sciences demands the use of carefully arranged methods for storing scientific material, which today still strains the brain unnecessarily”, he concluded in his essay.  

  • The Vision of Genetics as Blessing and Curse

    After the decoding of human DNA, Manfred von Ardenne foresaw genetics as both a blessing and a curse for humanity: “Now that the synthesis of nucleic acids has been achieved recently, we may hope that the synthesis of important proteins can be achieved within the near future. Given the current status of this work, we can predict the solution to the riddle of the heredity of protein structure. And with that humanity will be granted the great but also terrifying possibility of creating living entities at will.”

  • The Vision of Wallpaper made of Light

    Concerning telecommunications he made a prophecy that has turned out to be exactly true to an astonishing extent: “At the end of the development, for example, every telephone subscriber will be able to dial every other subscriber in the world using a dialing system without any delay.” And in semiconductor and display technology, as far back as 1962 he announced the so-called OLEDs (organic light emitting diodes): “In lighting technology diffuse ambient light using electroluminescent panel lights will find many friends. It will replace the light bulb or the fluorescent tube with luminescent panels, which can be fitted on the wall of the room partially or wholly.” The current development projects at VON ARDENNE are precisely on this technology.

    What was unbelievably remarkable about von Ardenne’s thoughts at the time was the sweeping way he cut through the most different scientific disciplines and how exact his prognoses were.

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